DEFINITIONS

Age the age of the person concerned in full years at the time of the event, i.e. the age at last birthday.

Place of residence the area or settlement in which the person resides according to his/her statement or according to the Population Register (depending on the methodology of the survey).

METHODOLOGY

For estimation of the initial data the data of 2005 and the age distribution of the beginning of the year 2006 were used. 2006 population is based on the 2000 Population and Housing Census data and is complemented with the annual data on registered births and deaths.

The 2000 Population Census covered:

- persons who were in the Republic of Estonia at the moment of the Census, except for diplomatic staff of foreign diplomatic missions and consular posts and their family members and persons in active service in a foreign army;

- persons, who reside in the Republic of Estonia but who were in foreign states temporarily for a term of up to one year;

- diplomatic staff of diplomatic missions and consular posts of the Republic of Estonia and their family members, who were in a foreign state at the moment of the Census.

Persons whose permanent place of residence was in Estonia were counted as the resident population of Estonia irrespective of whether they stayed at the moment of Census in their permanent residence or not.

The calculation of life tables was based mainly on Swedish life tables and age-specific fertility rates mainly on the French data.

Variant 1 assumptions

- total fertility rate is continuously increasing and will grow to two children per woman by 2047;

- mortality decreases;

- by 2050 life expectancy at birth will have grown to 80.44 years for women and 78.36 years for men;

- migration is zero or immigration balances emigration.

Variant 2 assumptions

- total fertility rate is continuously increasing and will grow to two children per woman by 2047;

- mortality decreases;

- by 2050 life expectancy at birth will have grown to 80.44 years for women and 78.36 years for men;

- until 2013 net migration will be negative, later positive. In 2016 net migration will be slightly over 3000 but will then start to decrease slowly. From 2026 onwards, net migration is forecasted to be zero.

Variant 2 of population forecast published in the publication Rahvastik. 20052006. Population corresponds to the variant 1 of the table RV09. Variant 2a corresponds to the Variant 2 of the table.

MORE DATA

Rahvastik. 20052006. Population.

CONTACT PERSON

Alis Tammur

Population and Social Statistics Department

Tel +372 625 8481

alis.tammur@stat.ee

Updated: 16.04.2014